Two Asteroids to Make Fly-By of Earth Wednesday

NASA: Scientists Talk about Asteroids Passing Near Earth WednesdayNASA: Scientists Talk about Asteroids Passing Near Earth Wednesday, NASA

"Two asteroids will pass within the Moon's distance from Earth on Wednesday, Sept. 8. NASA scientists will be available for satellite interviews Tuesday, Sept. 7, and Wednesday morning to discuss these near- Earth objects.

The Catalina Sky Survey near Tucson, Ariz., discovered both objects on Sunday, Sept. 5. The Minor Planet Center in Cambridge, Mass., reviewed the observations and determined the preliminary orbits. The center's personnel concluded both objects would pass within the distance of the Moon to Earth, approximately 240,000 miles. The asteroids should be visible with moderate-sized amateur telescopes."


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So we learned about these objects on Sunday, and learn they will be near Earth at moon orbit distance on Wed.

Makes you wonder what else we don't know we don't know.

I do get the impression that, even now, detection of PHOs early enough for mitigating action to be possible remains purely based on luck. I'm not sure if the issue is low object albedo or some difficulty in identifying and tracking objects. However, we're still a way from Arthur C. Clark's "Spacewatch" concept, IMHO.

I think they missed one (probably more than one). I hadn't heard about the asteroids when I was walking down a path in Brooklyn on Tuesday at about 10:15 PM and saw what appeared to be the lowest and brightest shooting star I'd ever seen (I've seen about 15 in my life). The coordinates according to Google Maps were about 40.596847, -74.004915.

One needs to be realistic about the asteroid impact hazard. These asteroids are too small (diameters of about 10 meters) to have been seen until they were within a few million kilometers of the Earth. Even if such a small asteroid hit the Earth, it would burn up or explode harmlessly in the upper atmosphere and cause little if any harm on the surface. NASA's Spaceguard Survey for Earth-approaching asteroids (http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov and http://impact.arc.nasa.gov) focuses on the larger objects that could do a great deal of damage if we collided with them. The objective of the survey is to provide decades of warning, so that we would have time to protect ourselves by deflecting the asteroid so that it misses the Earth. With less than a decade of warning there is not much we could do. For the asteroids with diameter more than 2 km, we have already learned that there are none on a collision course with our planet. No current survey is trying to find small asteroids just a few days or weeks before they come close to the Earth, but sometimes we do catch small asteroids such as these. The fact that we see these is an indication of how well the survey telescopes are working. A decade ago we would never have known that many small asteroids are sailing past the Earth every month.

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